{"id":671,"date":"2021-01-15T13:29:25","date_gmt":"2021-01-15T16:29:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/?p=671"},"modified":"2022-09-29T22:22:35","modified_gmt":"2022-09-30T01:22:35","slug":"elementor-671","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/2021\/01\/15\/elementor-671\/","title":{"rendered":"Indicadores Cagazo Pandemia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Uta mientras estaba en Canad\u00e1, se me ocurri\u00f3 que ser\u00eda \u00fatil un \u00fanico indicador que midiera cu\u00e1nto era el cagazo de la pandemia en Shilito. Andaba mareao con la los casos activos, los casos totales, los finaos, los PCR positivos, la cantid\u00e1 de weones en camas cr\u00edticas y no cr\u00edticas, etc, etc. Como ke se me estaba haciendo cuesta arriba seguir la we\u00e1,&nbsp; y peor a\u00fan, predecir ke chucha iba a pasar en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Y despu\u00e9s me qued\u00e9 pensando que la we\u00e1 es la misma we\u00e1 ke cualquier indicador financiero qliao, s\u00f3lo ke de salud. Series de tiempo con estacionalid\u00e1 semanal de varios indicadores. Se predicien cada una de las series, se arma un indicador que es una f\u00f3rmula de la we\u00e1 y ke tenga sent\u00edo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Entonces crani\u00e9 dos indicadores uno temprano y otro tard\u00edo.&nbsp; El temprano le da m\u00e1s peso a la positivid\u00e1 de las PCR y los casos activos, y el tard\u00edo m\u00e1s peso a las camas utiliz\u00e1s y a los ke pararon las chalas ke es cuando ya est\u00e1 la zorra. La base 100 son las 4 semanas peores de la pandemia, entonces si el indicador est\u00e1 en 50 es que el cagazo es la mit\u00e1 de lo peor ke ya vivimos. Lo weno ke los datos los actualiza el Ministerio de Ciencia y los publica todos los d\u00edas en&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/MinCiencia\/Datos-COVID19\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/github.com\/MinCiencia\/Datos-COVID19\/<\/a>entonces es we\u00e1 de hacer los programas una vez y despu\u00e9s puro echar a correr la we\u00e1 pa ir actualiz\u00e1ndolo.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/plot_zoom1-1024x624.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/plot_zoom2-1024x624.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uta mientras estaba en Canad\u00e1, se me ocurri\u00f3 que ser\u00eda \u00fatil un \u00fanico indicador que midiera cu\u00e1nto era el cagazo de la pandemia en Shilito. Andaba mareao con la los casos activos, los casos totales, los finaos, los PCR positivos, la cantid\u00e1 de weones en camas cr\u00edticas y no cr\u00edticas, etc, etc. Como ke se [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[20,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-671","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-pandemia","category-weas-varias"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":158,"url":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/2020\/07\/18\/el-cagazo-de-las-pensiones-ii\/","url_meta":{"origin":671,"position":0},"title":"El Cagazo de las Pensiones II","author":"Economista Flaite","date":"Julio 18, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"13 de Agosto, 2019 en The Clinic https:\/\/www.theclinic.cl\/2019\/08\/13\/columna-del-economista-flaite-el-cagazo-de-las-pensiones-parte-ii\/ En la primera patita expliqu\u00e9 como juncionaba el sistema actual y por qu\u00e9 la we\u00e1 no daba con las cortizaciones artuales del 10% del suerdo y con los caletas de weones ke no cotizan por lagunas, boletariado, informales, etc,etc. ahora vamos a\u2026","rel":"","context":"En &quot;We\u00e1s Varias&quot;","block_context":{"text":"We\u00e1s Varias","link":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/category\/weas-varias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":151,"url":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/2020\/07\/18\/el-cagazo-de-las-pensiones-parte-i\/","url_meta":{"origin":671,"position":1},"title":"El cagazo de las pensiones: Parte I","author":"Economista Flaite","date":"Julio 18, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Kipa con las pensiones: Esta primera patita esplica el sistema astual.","rel":"","context":"En &quot;We\u00e1s Varias&quot;","block_context":{"text":"We\u00e1s Varias","link":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/category\/weas-varias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":280,"url":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/29\/como-se-cacha-si-una-estrategia-de-inversion-es-wena-o-como-el-lolly\/","url_meta":{"origin":671,"position":2},"title":"\u00bfComo se cacha si una estrategia de inversi\u00f3n es wena o como el lolly?","author":"Economista Flaite","date":"Noviembre 29, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Uta en el post anterior ( http:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/2020\/11\/28\/las-triangulaciones-del-loro-ii\/ ) expliqu\u00e9 como las recomendaciones masivas forraban a unos pocos avivaos y se cagaban a la mayor\u00eda de los wns), entonces antes de meterle a los datos de si la we\u00e1 del Gino sirve o no, hay ke explicar como se puede saber\u2026","rel":"","context":"En &quot;We\u00e1s Varias&quot;","block_context":{"text":"We\u00e1s Varias","link":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/category\/weas-varias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/article-portfolio-performance-vs-benchmarks.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/article-portfolio-performance-vs-benchmarks.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/article-portfolio-performance-vs-benchmarks.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":195,"url":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/26\/las-triangulaciones-del-loro\/","url_meta":{"origin":671,"position":3},"title":"Las Triangulaciones del Loro","author":"Economista Flaite","date":"Noviembre 26, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Yo les voy a explicarles la we\u00e1 de las triangulaciones de Pi\u00f1era, que el Loro Lorenzini de Felices y Forrados anda cacareando. Partamos por la corta o el resumen ejecutivo ke le llaman: El Loro dice en su PPT (en el link) y sus videos: (ke $17.513.176.337 son USD387 millones\u2026","rel":"","context":"En &quot;We\u00e1s Varias&quot;","block_context":{"text":"We\u00e1s Varias","link":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/category\/weas-varias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/gino1-copy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/gino1-copy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/gino1-copy.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/gino1-copy.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":182,"url":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/2020\/07\/18\/colurna-del-chupa-cornetas-de-las-afp-y-de-los-empresarios\/","url_meta":{"origin":671,"position":4},"title":"Colurna del Chupa Cornetas de las AFP y de los Empresarios","author":"Economista Flaite","date":"Julio 18, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Uta ke me han criticao los wns anti AFP. Ki we\u00e1 no me han dicho. Hasta de chupapico de las AFP me han tratao. https:\/\/twitter.com\/dmarchant_z\/status\/1283947216529428481?s=20 https:\/\/twitter.com\/daniyevenes\/status\/1284550238133526529?s=20 Pero la we\u00e1 es ke yo no soy pol\u00edtico y explico las we\u00e1s pa ke cada wn saque solito sus conclusiones, pero tampoco estoy\u2026","rel":"","context":"En &quot;We\u00e1s Varias&quot;","block_context":{"text":"We\u00e1s Varias","link":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/category\/weas-varias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/rentafp-copy.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/rentafp-copy.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/rentafp-copy.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/rentafp-copy.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":296,"url":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/30\/la-firme-de-la-rentabilida-de-felices-y-forrados\/","url_meta":{"origin":671,"position":5},"title":"La Firme de la Rentabilid\u00e1 de Felices y Forrados","author":"Economista Flaite","date":"Noviembre 30, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Primero vayamos a la corta. La we\u00e1 de Felices Forrados es como el pico. Si uno hubiera hecho al cayo lo ke el Gino le dice desde hace 6 a\u00f1os, habr\u00eda perdido -7% en relaci\u00f3n a quedarse siempre en el Fondo\u00a0 C. Si en lugar de instruir a la AFP\u00a0\u2026","rel":"","context":"En &quot;Pol\u00e9micas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Pol\u00e9micas","link":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/category\/polemicas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/grafico1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/grafico1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/grafico1.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/economistaflaite.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/grafico1.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=671"}],"version-history":[{"count":23,"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1247,"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671\/revisions\/1247"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economistaflaite.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}